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Prediction market insights, trading strategies, and platform updates from the Yogen team.
TechnicalPrediction markets have always had a trust problem. Smart contracts fix it. Here's how automated settlement, transparent rules, and on-chain escrow make prediction markets actually work.
AnalysisA lot has shifted since the 2024 election hype. Polymarket exploded, regulators woke up, Canton launched, and institutions are finally paying attention. Here's where prediction markets actually stand right now.
EducationA share trading at 65 cents means the crowd thinks there's a 65% chance it happens. But knowing that is just the start. Here's how to actually read odds, spot mispriced markets, and figure out when volume is telling you more than price.
EducationPrediction markets didn't start with crypto. They've been around since 1988, and the path from a university experiment to billion-dollar blockchain platforms is wilder than you'd think.
StrategyMost people buy prediction market shares on gut feeling and hope for the best. That's not a strategy. Here are five approaches I've seen work consistently, from contrarian buying to calendar arbitrage.
TechnicalWe picked Canton over Ethereum for Yogen. Not because it's trendy. Because prediction markets need privacy that EVM chains simply can't deliver.
ComparisonThree prediction markets, three wildly different approaches. Here's an honest look at how Polymarket, Kalshi, and Yogen stack up against each other.
TechnicalThe Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule powers most prediction markets. Here's how it actually works, why the liquidity parameter matters, and what makes it better than an order book.
AnalysisPolls get it wrong all the time. Prediction markets don't. Here's why putting real money on outcomes produces better forecasts than asking people who they'll vote for.
EducationPrediction markets let you bet on real-world outcomes, from elections to crypto prices. Here's how they work, why they're surprisingly accurate, and how to get started without losing your shirt.